June Best Picture Predictions


Predicted Ten:

  • The Birth of a Nation
    • Cast: Nate Parker, Armie Hammer, Aunjanue Ellis, Aja Naomi King, Gabrielle Union, Penelope Ann Miller & Jackie Earle Haley
    • Director: Nate Parker (directorial debut)
    • Writer: Nate Parker
    • Why?: Rave reviews from Sundance are already calling this one of the best films of the year.  And with #OscarsSoWhite, you know the Academy will be looking for more diversity since this film deals with slavery & racial issues.
  • Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
    • Cast: Joe Alywn, Kristen Stewart, Chris Tucker, Garrett Hedlund, Vin Diesel & Steve Martin
    • Director: Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain, Life of Pi)
    • Writer: Jean-Christophe Castelli (Associate producer of Life of Pi)
    • Why?: The Academy loves Ang Lee, and his films are pretty spectacular.  The trailer for this films is beautiful, dealing with post-war issues and humanity.
  • Silence
    • Cast: Andrew Garfield, Adam Driver, Liam Neeson & Ciaran Hinds
    • Director: Martin Scorsese (The Departed, Hugo, Goodfellas, Gangs of New York)
    • Writer: Jay Cocks (De-Lovely, Gangs of New York, The Age of Innocence)
    • Why?: It’s Martin Frickin Scorsese, and it’s about two Jesuit priests who face violence and persecution when they travel to Japan to locate their mentor and propagate Christianity.
  • La La Land

    • Cast: Emma Stone, Ryan Gosling, J.K. Simmons, Finn Wittrock & Rosemarie DeWitt
    • Director: Damien Chazelle (Whiplash)
    • Writer: Damien Chazelle
    • Why?: Whiplash was a hit when it came out, and with a cast like this, how could you go wrong?
  • Loving
    • Cast: Ruth Negga, Joel Edgerton, Michael Shannon & Marton Csokas
    • Director: Jeff Nichols (MudTake Shelter, Midnight Special)
    • Writer: Jeff Nichols
    • Why?: The Cannes reviews for this film have been very positive, and the film itself deals with the controversy over interracial marriages.
  • Manchester by the Sea
    • Cast: Casey Affleck, Kyle Chandler, Michelle Williams & Matthew Broderick
    • Director: Kenneth Lonergan (Margaret, You Can Count on Me)
    • Writer: Kenneth Lonergan (Analyze This)
    • Why?: Strong reviews from Sundance could really have an impact and make this a success once released.  Plus it deals with an uncle who is forced to take care of his teenage nephew after the boy’s father dies.
  • Allied
    • Cast: Brad Pitt, Marion Cotillard, Lizzy Caplan & Matthew Goode
    • Director: Robert Zemeckis (Cast Away, Forrest Gump, Flight)
    • Writer: Steven Knight (Eastern Promises, Closed Circuit, Locke)
    • Why?: With two fanastic leads, a great director & solid writer, though could be a wonderful dramatic thriller.
  • The Light Between Oceans

    • Cast: Alicia Vikander, Michael Fassbender & Rachel Weisz
    • Director: Derek Cianfrance (Blue Valentine, The Place Beyond the Pines)
    • Writer: Derek Cianfrance
    • Why?: There is something about the beautiful trailer and deep storyline that just keeps drawing me in.
  • Fences
    • Cast: Viola Davis & Denzel Washington
    • Director: Denzel Washington (Antwone Fisher, The Great Debaters)
    • Writer: Tony Kushner (Lincoln, Munich)
    • Why?: Viola Davis & Denzel Washington both won Tony Awards win they starred in the stage play.  Not Denzel Washington is directing wtih an Oscar nominated writer adapting.  Sounds good to me!
  • Sully
    • Cast: Tom Hanks, Aaron Eckhart, Anna Gunn, Laura Linney & Sam Huntington
    • Director: Clint Eastwood (Mystic River, Million Dollar Baby, American Sniper)
    • Writer: Todd Komarnicki (Resistance, Perfect Stranger)
    • Why?: It’s based on the true story of Captain Sully & the Academy loves Eastwood.  I am only nervous about the screenwriter choice…

Also in the Running:

  • Rules Don’t Apply
  • Passengers
  • Lion
  • The Founder
  • Collateral Beauty
  • Nocturnal Animals
  • The Lobster
  • Wilson
  • The Girl on the Train
  • Snowden
  • American Pastoral

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